FORECAST/RESEARCH/STUDY

Nokia Expects To Exceed 2021 Financial Guidance And Provides Operating Margin Guidance For 2022

By Oystein Bergmann, Senior Correspondent Scandinavia

Nokia is providing an update to its financial guidance for 2021 and a comparable operating margin guidance for 2022.

In Q4 2021 Nokia’s underlying business performed largely as expected. However, other operating income was higher than expected including further benefits from venture fund investments, leading to a stronger comparable operating margin exceeding the 2021 guidance.

Based on preliminary and unaudited financial results for 2021 Nokia now estimates net sales of approximately €22.2bn(US$25.22billion) within its previous guidance of €21.7 to 22.7bn and a comparable operating margin of 12.4 to 12.6 per cent above its previous guidance of 10 to 12 per cent. The company estimates it has benefited from approximately 150bps of one-offs in financial year 2021 to its comparable operating margin (up from 100bps expected at our Q3 earnings) related to venture fund investments, a one-off software contract in Q2, bad debt provision reversals and some other one-time benefits.

Updated 2021 guidance based on preliminary and unaudited 2021 financials:

                Previous (28 Oct ’21)      Updated

Net sales             €21.7bn to €22.7bn1       Approx. €22.2bn

Comparable operating margin    10 to 12%             12.4 to 12.6%

Free cash flow   Clearly positive Clearly positive

Comparable ROIC            17 to 21%             17 to 21%

1 Assuming actual currency rates until Sept 2021 and end of Sept EUR/USD rate of 1.16 continues in the remainder of 2021.

2022 outlook:

Nokia is also introducing a new comparable operating margin guidance for financial year 2022 of 11 per cent to 13.5 per cent. This new guidance considers estimated continued improvements in the underlying business, supply constraints and cost inflation, with the year-on-year progression also impacted by the significant one-offs seen in 2021.

The company will release its fourth quarter and full year 2021 financial results on Thursday February 3, 2022 when it will also revisit its longer-term outlook.

Nokia will conduct a conference call with analysts and investors to discuss its fourth quarter performance and business outlook same day at 11:30am EET / 9:30am BST / 4:30am US EST.

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