By Sarah Clark
Adoption of digital travel credentials (DTCs) will reach 15 per cent globally by 2034 “as technical specifications, solidification of supporting infrastructure, growing digital maturity, and deepening interoperability converge to prime the digital ID space,” ABI Research predicts.
“While Digital Travel Credentials (DTCs) are a natural evolution from e-passports, their implementation will be gradual due to the security-sensitive nature of travel, border control, and immigration,” the researchers say.
“Pre-existing digital ID schemes and identity-orientated regulation are the primary stimuli fueling regional growth and accelerating DTC adoption, with the North American region expected to take an early lead given the saturation of mobile driving licenses (mDL) in this region.
“However, Europe will present the most fertile ground for long-term, sustained adoption of DTCs, standing on the shoulders of comprehensive legislative schemes implemented throughout the 2020s.”
“With many states lacking the digital maturity for widespread adoption, regional and global fragmentation is expected over the next decade,” analyst Aisling Dawson concludes. “To unlock DTC growth, vendors must collaborate on standardization and deliver seamless, interoperable solutions.”
“While slow standardization and lack of harmonization hinder adoption, forward-thinking is essential. User experience is a critical differentiator for private partners and nation states selecting solutions, while concerns over quantum attacks on digital identity remain.
“Prioritizing quantum-resistant DTC solutions now will help vendors capitalize on emerging opportunities and facilitate the shift toward digitalized identity.”
